The North American corrugated and folding carton packaging market is set to experience steady growth over the next decade. Forecasts predict the market will grow from USD 36.73 billion in 2024 to USD 42.5 billion by 2034, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.47%. This growth trajectory is supported by several key factors, including expanding production capabilities and evolving industry trends.
Market Overview
The North American corrugated and folding carton packaging market is projected to reach USD 42.5 billion by 2034, up from USD 37.27 billion in 2025. The market is expected to witness rapid growth at a CAGR of 1.47% between 2025 and 2034. The key players in the industry are adopting inorganic growth strategies, such as mergers and acquisitions, to develop advanced technologies for packaging production. These advancements are expected to drive market growth throughout the forecast period.
Corrugated and folding carton packaging are two of the most widely used paper-based packaging options across various industries. While corrugated packaging focuses on durability and protection, folding cartons emphasize visual appeal and convenience. Both types of packaging are recyclable and contribute to sustainable solutions across industries.
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Key Drivers and Industry Trends
The growth of the North American market is primarily driven by e-commerce, sustainability trends, and increasing demand from the food, beverage, and consumer goods sectors. Corrugated packaging is known for its strength and recyclability, making it ideal for shipping and logistics. On the other hand, folding cartons are highly customizable and offer excellent shelf appeal, making them popular for retail packaging.
Sustainability Trends and Innovations
Sustainability is a key trend driving innovation in the packaging sector. With recycling rates exceeding 96%, the industry is heavily investing in recycled fibers and lightweight board solutions. The push for eco-friendly, lightweight paperboard and innovations like Stora Enso’s FiberLight technology are helping align the packaging industry with circular economy goals.
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E-Commerce and Customization
The e-commerce boom has significantly increased the demand for packaging solutions tailored for online shopping. Packaging systems like automated fit-to-product and box-on-demand solutions are becoming more common to reduce over-packaging and optimize logistics. These innovations are particularly beneficial in fulfilling customer orders quickly while minimizing storage costs.
Smart Packaging and Interactive Solutions
Interactive packaging, such as incorporating QR codes, RFID, NFC, and sensors, is becoming more prevalent. These features provide real-time traceability, tamper detection, and freshness monitoring. Smart packaging is particularly beneficial in industries like food and pharmaceuticals, where safety and consumer engagement are paramount.
Advancements in Printing and Branding
The packaging sector is benefiting from digital print-on-demand technologies, which allow for vibrant, short-run graphics directly on packaging surfaces. Folding cartons, in particular, are enhancing their appeal with high-resolution printing, vivid designs, and security features that drive premium shelf visuals and brand recognition.
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Automation and Industry 4.0
Automation is transforming the packaging industry with the integration of robotic packaging lines, IoT sensors, and AI-driven production optimization. These technologies are helping companies manage complex supply chains, reduce production costs, and improve overall efficiency.
Key Market Segments
By type, the single wall segment dominated the market in 2024. As for end-user industries, the food sector led the market in the same year, driven by the high demand for packaging that offers both durability and customization.
In terms of growth, the e-commerce sector is expected to see the fastest CAGR during the forecast period, driven by the surge in online shopping and the need for customized, branded packaging solutions.
How AI is Revolutionizing the Industry
AI is playing a transformative role in the corrugated and folding carton packaging industry. By integrating AI-powered systems, manufacturers can optimize machine performance, predict maintenance needs, and reduce downtime through predictive analytics. AI is also enhancing design capabilities by automating the creation of custom packaging that fits product specifications, ensuring optimal protection and cost-efficiency. Furthermore, AI is streamlining inventory and supply chain management, using real-time data to forecast demand, minimize waste, and prevent overproduction.
Key Market Drivers
Growth in Retail Sales, Consumer Goods, and E-commerce Boom
The rapid growth of e-commerce is significantly impacting the demand for corrugated and folding carton packaging. As online shopping continues to increase, consumers expect durable packaging that ensures product protection during transit. E-commerce brands are also investing in custom packaging to enhance the unboxing experience, strengthen brand identity, and create lasting impressions with customers.
According to the American E-Commerce Association (AEA), retail e-commerce sales in the U.S. reached USD 1.34 trillion in 2024, marking a 9.24% year-over-year increase. U.S. e-commerce revenue is expected to rise by 55.4% between 2024 and 2029, which further underscores the demand for efficient, protective packaging solutions.
Why the Food Segment Dominates the Packaging Market
The food sector dominates the North American corrugated and folding carton packaging market due to the high demand for both protection and branding. Corrugated packaging is widely used for fresh produce, frozen foods, and bulk groceries due to its durability and ability to regulate airflow and absorb moisture. Folding cartons are highly sought after in the retail food sector because of their lightweight nature, customizable design, and ability to enhance product visibility on store shelves.
The E-Commerce Segment’s Rapid Growth
The e-commerce segment is seeing unprecedented growth due to the surge in online shopping. Customized packaging plays a crucial role in delivering products safely, reinforcing brand identity, and improving the overall customer experience. The demand for corrugated and folding carton packaging is increasing, especially with the rise of direct-to-consumer (D2C) brands, which rely heavily on attractive and durable packaging for shipping.
Key Announcements and Developments in the Industry
Several key players in the North American corrugated and folding carton packaging industry have made significant announcements that highlight their strategic growth initiatives.
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International Paper: In June 2025, the company announced plans to expand its regional manufacturing footprint in the U.S. with the investigation of a new sustainable packaging facility in Salt Lake City, Utah. This initiative is part of its strategic growth program to enhance production capabilities and expand its geographic presence.
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UFP Packaging: In March 2025, UFP Packaging, a division of UFP Industries, opened a 165,000 square foot corrugated packaging facility in Jeffersonville, Indiana. This new facility will focus on production capabilities for both retail and e-commerce marketplaces, with an emphasis on advanced graphics and packaging solutions.
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DS Smith: In March 2024, DS Smith introduced its Dry Pack seafood box, a 100% recyclable, non-leaking, water-resistant box designed as a sustainable alternative to non-recyclable expanded polystyrene foam. The Dry Pack box is capable of preserving fresh seafood at temperatures below 40°F for over 40 hours, making it ideal for cold chain operations.
Conclusion
The North American corrugated and folding carton packaging market is poised for steady growth, driven by the rising demand from e-commerce, sustainability initiatives, and advancements in packaging technologies. With key players investing in new facilities, sustainable packaging solutions, and innovative designs, the industry is well-positioned to meet the evolving needs of consumers and businesses alike. As the market continues to expand, automation, AI, and smart packaging will further revolutionize how products are packaged, delivered, and experienced by consumers.
